Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 73667.809839 77851.100602 82037.415236 86538.028206 91236.581883 95993.974830 101171.962937
2025-04-27 67463.858155 73904.012246 80532.527780 87855.141102 95707.991824 103866.904583 112974.848698
2025-05-04 62648.680291 70616.106507 79000.469007 88461.405534 98819.900023 109795.971306 122285.278914
2025-05-11 58579.291901 67645.641320 77366.508883 88531.711825 100967.712702 114359.664801 129836.944689
2025-05-18 55365.743091 65308.389994 76144.672617 88784.028612 103071.621304 118671.463479 136940.397237
2025-05-25 52555.957384 63203.632099 74981.499451 88910.512319 104865.193067 122500.052056 143394.505691
2025-06-01 50715.705465 62062.082083 74780.895172 90009.602250 107658.476704 127377.977253 150982.787898
2025-06-08 48367.076637 60193.094819 73620.588482 89889.147155 108954.672605 130476.423818 156488.556633
2025-06-15 47074.411527 59481.322613 73731.739551 91181.050393 111834.431164 135361.186488 164039.892142
2025-06-22 45609.545404 58483.298645 73435.199295 91930.284761 114030.017621 139422.489864 170626.102641
2025-06-29 43912.332636 57125.556796 72639.722208 92021.181671 115394.097532 142474.282035 176011.197610
2025-07-06 42308.435749 55812.267359 71834.917662 92042.581180 116626.959418 145337.578806 181156.302513
2025-07-13 41404.084436 55340.399090 72039.720327 93288.306761 119351.118849 150012.708469 188526.130272
2025-07-20 40526.445964 54864.745207 72210.998988 94473.083688 121995.114935 154602.864620 195828.307037
2025-07-27 39421.271188 54056.205905 71931.309629 95068.761682 123897.138996 158291.477536 202055.028324
2025-08-03 38133.020583 52965.465531 71255.809012 95132.920942 125114.248411 161131.519153 207250.380098
2025-08-10 37014.214408 52052.041077 70766.927204 95398.089310 126555.756113 164232.378290 212765.741911
2025-08-17 35899.500934 51104.466151 70199.217477 95531.651773 127808.467285 167088.092708 217981.146852
2025-08-24 35300.639820 50812.195991 70452.211144 96696.393979 130352.686287 171546.050103 225196.742825
2025-08-31 34177.364019 49785.438715 69722.138702 96568.715105 131236.517117 173926.556979 229833.548312
2025-09-07 33740.474685 49662.486270 70156.246708 97937.732039 134027.813533 178702.492084 237486.043077
2025-09-14 33089.251343 49226.200024 70159.844534 98731.592763 136074.660393 182546.605747 243988.694603
2025-09-21 32187.574643 48419.496985 69648.278989 98827.898797 137205.548830 185226.876035 249030.594642